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<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\uc815\uce58 \uc2ec\uce35\ubd84\uc11d | 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 4\uc77c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc804\uad6d\uc774 \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4\ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9 \uc6b0\uc138\ub85c \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub41c 6\u00b73 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \uc11c\uc6b8\ub9cc\uc740 \ub2ec\ub790\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc120\uac70 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \ud558\ub098\uc758 \uc9c8\ubb38\uc744 \ub0a8\uae34\ub2e4. \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 5\uc120 \uc131\uacf5\uc740 \ubcf4\uc218 \uc7ac\uac74\uc758 \uc2e0\ud638\ud0c4\uc77c\uae4c, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \ubbfc\uc2ec\uc774 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\ub0b8 \uc11c\uc6b8\ub9cc\uc758 \ud2b9\uc218\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\uc77c\uae4c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\uc6d4 3\uc77c \ubc24, \uc8fc\uc694 \ubc29\uc1a1\uc0ac \ucd9c\uad6c\uc870\uc0ac\ub294 \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9 \uc815\uc6d0\uc624 \ud6c4\ubcf4\uc758 \uc6b0\uc138\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud588\ub2e4. JTBC \uc608\uce21\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc815\uc6d0\uc624 \ud6c4\ubcf4\uac00 53.5%, \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \ud6c4\ubcf4\uac00 42.9%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub418\uba70 10%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uac1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc9c4\ud589\ub420\uc218\ub85d \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4. \uac15\ub0a8\u00b7\uc11c\ucd08 \ub4f1 \ubcf4\uc218 \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc5ed \ud45c\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5c8\uace0, 6\uc6d4 4\uc77c \uc624\uc804 7\uc2dc 17\ubd84 \uc911\uc559\uc120\uac70\uad00\ub9ac\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c \uc9d1\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \ud6c4\ubcf4\uac00 \ucc98\uc74c \uc5ed\uc804\uc5d0 \uc131\uacf5\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ucd5c\uc885 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 48.94%, \uc815\uc6d0\uc624 48.34%. \ubd88\uacfc 0.60%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 3\ub9cc359\ud45c \ucc28\uc774\uc600\ub2e4. \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc120\uac70 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc0c1 \uac00\uc7a5 \ubc15\ube59\uc758 \uc2b9\ubd80\uc774\uc790 \uac00\uc7a5 \uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uc5ed\uc804\uadf9\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub85d\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \ucd9c\uad6c\uc870\uc0ac \uc624\ucc28\uc758 \uc6d0\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0\ub97c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uccab\uc9f8\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc0ac\uc804\ud22c\ud45c \ube44\uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \uc11c\uc6b8 \uc0ac\uc804\ud22c\ud45c\uc728\uc740 23.84%\uc600\uace0, \uc804\uccb4 \ud22c\ud45c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc0ac\uc804\ud22c\ud45c\uc640 \uc6b0\ud3b8\ud22c\ud45c\uac00 \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc728\uc740 37.6%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4. \ud604\ud589 \uc81c\ub3c4\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc804\ud22c\ud45c \uae30\uac04\uc5d0\ub294 \ucd9c\uad6c\uc870\uc0ac\uac00 \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5\ud574 \uc608\uce21 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ud55c\uacc4\uac00 \uc874\uc7ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ub458\uc9f8\ub294 \uc774\ub978\ubc14 ‘\uc0e4\uc774 \ubcf4\uc218’ \ud604\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4. \uc724\uc11d\uc5f4 \uc804 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \ud0c4\ud575\uacfc \ube44\uc0c1\uacc4\uc5c4 \ub17c\ub780 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcf4\uc218 \uc131\ud5a5 \uc720\uad8c\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uc131\ud5a5\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b4\uae30\ub97c \uaebc\ub838\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc14b\uc9f8\ub294 \uc1a1\ud30c\uad6c \uac1c\ud45c \uc9c0\uc5f0\uc774\ub2e4. \ud22c\ud45c\uc6a9\uc9c0 \ubd80\uc871 \uc0ac\ud0dc\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \uc1a1\ud30c\uad6c\ub294 \uc11c\uc6b8 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc720\uad8c\uc790 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2a6\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud45c\uc2ec\uc774 \ucd5c\uc885 \uacb0\uacfc\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2025\ub144 \uc81c21\ub300 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc120\uac70\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4 \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucd9c\uad6c\uc870\uc0ac\uc640 \uc2e4\uc81c \uacb0\uacfc \uac04 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \uc0ac\uc804\ud22c\ud45c \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \uc2dc\ub300\uc5d0 \uae30\uc874 \ucd9c\uad6c\uc870\uc0ac \ubc29\uc2dd\uc758 \ud55c\uacc4\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud55c\ubc88 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0ac\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc804\uad6d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9\uc740 16\uac1c \uad11\uc5ed\ub2e8\uccb4 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 12\uacf3\uc744 \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc7ac\uba85 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uad6d\uc815 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc728\ub3c4 \uc120\uac70 \uc9c1\uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc11c\uc6b8\ub9cc\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc120\ud0dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc774\ubc88 \uc120\uac70\ub97c \uc124\uba85\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ud0a4\uc6cc\ub4dc\ub294 ‘\ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \uc790\uc0b0\ud22c\ud45c(Patrimonial Voting)’\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \ud6c4\ubcf4\uac00 \uc2b9\ub9ac\ud55c \uc1a1\ud30c\u00b7\uad11\uc9c4\u00b7\uc591\ucc9c\u00b7\uc601\ub4f1\ud3ec\u00b7\uac15\ub3d9\u00b7\ub3d9\uc791\u00b7\uc6a9\uc0b0\u00b7\uc911\u00b7\uc11c\ucd08\u00b7\uac15\ub0a8 \ub4f1 10\uac1c \uc790\uce58\uad6c\ub97c \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uba74 \uc0c1\ub2f9\uc218\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc11c\uc6b8 \uc544\ud30c\ud2b8 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uc0c1\uc704 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uacfc \uacb9\uce5c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ud2b9\ud788 \ubaa9\ub3d9 \uc7ac\uac74\ucd95\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc778 \uc591\ucc9c\uad6c, \uc5ec\uc758\ub3c4 \uac1c\ubc1c \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \ud070 \uc601\ub4f1\ud3ec\uad6c, \uc7ac\uac74\ucd95 \uc774\uc288\uac00 \uc9d1\uc911\ub41c \uac15\ub3d9\uad6c \ub4f1\uc740 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc131\ud5a5\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\ud588\ub358 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \uc774\uc288\uac00 \uc815\ub2f9 \uc120\ud638\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc120 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2e4\uc218\uc694\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uc8fc\uac70 \ubd88\uc548\uacfc \uc790\uc0b0\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uaddc\uc81c \ud53c\ub85c\uac10\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc791\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uacb0\uad6d \uc11c\uc6b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub150\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uce58\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud310\ub2e8\uc774 \ud22c\ud45c \ud589\ud0dc\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc138\ub300\ubcc4 \uacb0\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub748\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ucd9c\uad6c\uc870\uc0ac \uae30\uc900 \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \ud6c4\ubcf4\ub294 20\ub300 \uc774\ud558\uc640 30\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6b0\uc704\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc11c\uc6b8 20\ub300 \ub0a8\uc131\uce35\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc555\ub3c4\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc558\uace0, 30\ub300 \uc5ec\uc131\uce35\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc6b0\uc138\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uc138\ub300 \uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc8fc\uac70 \ubb38\uc81c\uc640 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc790\uc0b0 \ud615\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uc120\ud0dd\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uce35\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\ub958\ub418\ub358 \uc80a\uc740 \uc138\ub300 \uc77c\ubd80\uac00 \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \uacc4\uae30\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc120\ud0dd\uc744 \ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\uce58\uad8c\uc774 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ubaa9\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud55c\uad6d \uc9c0\ubc29\uc790\uce58 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\ucd08\uc758 5\uc120 \uad11\uc5ed\ub2e8\uccb4\uc7a5\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2006\ub144 \ucd5c\uc5f0\uc18c \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub2f9\uc120, 2010\ub144 \uc7ac\uc120, 2011\ub144 \ubb34\uc0c1\uae09\uc2dd \uc8fc\ubbfc\ud22c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc790\uc9c4 \uc0ac\ud1f4, 2021\ub144 \ubcf4\uad90\uc120\uac70 \ubcf5\uadc0, 2022\ub144 4\uc120, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 2026\ub144 5\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0. \uadf8\uc758 \uc815\uce58 \uc774\ub825\uc740 \ud55c\uad6d \ubcf4\uc218 \uc815\uce58\uc758 \ud765\ub9dd\uc744 \uc0c1\uc9d5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc774\ubc88 \uc2b9\ub9ac\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc758\ubbf8\ub294 ‘\ud0c8\uc724\uc11d\uc5f4 \ub178\uc120’\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uce5c\uc724\uacc4 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80\uc640 \uc77c\uc815\ud55c \uac70\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \ub3c5\uc790\uc801 \uc815\uce58 \ud589\ubcf4\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uc654\ub2e4. \uc815\uce58\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc911\ub3c4\uce35\uacfc \ubcf4\uc218\uce35\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uacb0\uc9d1\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ub370 \uc131\uacf5\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ud2b9\ud788 \ud0c4\ud575 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcf4\uc218 \uc9c4\uc601\uc774 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uc704\uae30\ub97c \uacaa\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2b9\ub9ac\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \ubcf4\uc218 \uc9c4\uc601 \ub0b4\ubd80\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub97c \ub358\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc774\ubc88 \uc120\uac70 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcf4\uc218 \uc9c4\uc601\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc790\uc5f0\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \ucc28\uae30 \uc9c0\ub3c4\uccb4\uc81c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc815\uce58\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \ud55c\ub3d9\ud6c8 \uc804 \ub300\ud45c\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcf4\uc218 \uc7ac\ud3b8\uc744 \uc774\ub04c \ud575\uc2ec \uc778\ubb3c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ub450 \uc0ac\ub78c \ubaa8\ub450 \uc724\uc11d\uc5f4 \uc804 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uacfc \uc77c\uc815\ud55c \uac70\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \ub3c5\uc790 \ub178\uc120\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ubc88 \uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc120\uc804\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uacf5\ud1b5\uc810\uc744 \uac16\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ubcf4\uc218 \uc9c4\uc601 \ub0b4\ubd80\uc758 \uc8fc\ub3c4\uad8c \uacbd\uc7c1\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc9c0\uae08\ubd80\ud130 \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\uad6d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc555\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uad11\uc5ed\ub2e8\uccb4\uc7a5 12\uacf3\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud588\uace0 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc758\ud68c\uc640 \uc790\uce58\uad6c\uccad\uc7a5 \uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc6b0\uc138\ub97c \uc810\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ubc29\uad8c\ub825 \uc9c0\ud615\ub9cc \ub193\uace0 \ubcf4\uba74 \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9\uc758 \ub3c5\uc8fc \uccb4\uc81c\uac00 \ub354\uc6b1 \uac15\ud654\ub41c \uc148\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc120\uac70 \ud328\ubc30\ub294 \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9\uc5d0 \ubf08\uc544\ud508 \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \ub0a8\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc815\uc6d0\uc624 \ud6c4\ubcf4\ub294 \uc774\uc7ac\uba85 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uacf5\uac1c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5b4\uc900 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ubb3c\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7f0 \ud6c4\ubcf4\uac00 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc5d0\uc11c \ud328\ubc30\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc774 \uc11c\uc6b8 \ubbfc\uc2ec\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc808\ub300\uc801\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ubb34\uc5c7\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc218\ub3c4\uad8c \uc120\uac70\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\uc784\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 4\uae30 \uc2dc\uc815\uc740 \uc5ed\uc124\uc801\uc778 \uc870\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc9c1\uc740 \uad6d\ubbfc\uc758\ud798\uc774 \uc9c0\ucf30\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc758\ud68c\uc640 \ub2e4\uc218 \uc790\uce58\uad6c\ub294 \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9\uc774 \uc7a5\uc545\ud588\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uac1c\ubc1c \uc0ac\uc5c5\uacfc \uc608\uc0b0\uc548\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uce58\uc5f4\ud55c \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc2e0\ud1b5\uae30\ud68d 2.0, \ud55c\uac15 \ub974\ub124\uc0c1\uc2a4 2\uae30, \ub3c4\uc2dc\uacbd\uc7c1\ub825 \uac15\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \ub4f1\uc774 \ucd94\uc9c4\ub825\uc744 \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub294 \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9\uc774 \uc7a5\uc545\ud55c \uc2dc\uc758\ud68c\uc640\uc758 \uad00\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uacb0\uad6d \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 4\ub144\uc740 \ud589\uc815 \ub2a5\ub825\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ud611\uc0c1\ub825\uc774 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uc5d0 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub300\uad8c \uc2dc\uacc4\ub3c4 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2030\ub144 \ub300\uc120\uc740 \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc784\uae30 \uc885\ub8cc \uc2dc\uc810\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 4\ub144\uac04 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc815 \uc131\uacfc\ub294 \uace7 \uadf8\uc758 \ub300\uad8c \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc815 \uc644\uc218\ub97c \uac15\uc870\ud574\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc815\uce58\uad8c\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uadf8\uc758 \ud589\ubcf4\ub97c \ucc28\uae30 \ub300\uad8c \uc8fc\uc790\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc774\ubc88 5\uc120\uc740 \uc815\uce58 \uc778\uc0dd\uc758 \uc885\ucc29\uc5ed\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ub354 \ud070 \ubb34\ub300\ub97c \ud5a5\ud55c \ucd9c\ubc1c\uc120\uc774 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 5\uc120\uc740 \ubd84\uba85 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \ubcf4\uc218 \uc9c4\uc601\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uae30\uc5d0, \uc774\uc7ac\uba85 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uacf5\uac1c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud55c \ud6c4\ubcf4\ub97c \uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \uc2b9\ub9ac\ud588\uace0, \ucd9c\uad6c\uc870\uc0ac \uacb0\uacfc\ub9c8\uc800 \ub4a4\uc9d1\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uc6b0\uc5f0\uc774\ub098 \ud589\uc6b4\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uacb0\uacfc\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ubc88 \uc2b9\ub9ac\uac00 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \uc804\uad6d\uc801 \ubcf4\uc218 \uc7ac\uac74\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub2e8\uc815\ud558\uae30\ub3c4 \uc774\ub974\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc774\ubc88 \uc120\uac70\uac00 \uc11c\uc6b8 \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \ubbfc\uc2ec\uc774 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\ub0b8 \ud2b9\uc218\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\uc600\ub294\uc9c0, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \ubcf4\uc218 \uc815\uce58\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucd9c\ubc1c\uc810\uc774\uc5c8\ub294\uc9c0\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c 4\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc815\uc774 \ub2f5\ud558\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc9d1\uac12\uc774 \uc7a1\ud788\uba74 \ubbfc\uc2ec\uc758 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc9d1\uac12 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74 \uadf8 \ucc45\uc784 \ub610\ud55c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc11c\uc6b8\uc740 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub300\ud55c\ubbfc\uad6d \uc815\uce58\uc758 \uc911\uc2ec \uc804\uc7a5\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Political Analysis | June 4, 2026<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n While the Democratic Party secured a sweeping victory across the country in the June 3 local elections, Seoul stood apart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The result leaves a critical question: Does Mayor Oh Se-hoon’s unprecedented fifth term signal the beginning of a conservative revival, or is it merely a unique outcome driven by Seoul’s real-estate-centered political landscape?<\/p>\n\n\n\n On election night, major broadcasters projected a comfortable victory for Democratic Party candidate Jung Won-oh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n JTBC’s forecast showed Jung leading with 53.5% against Oh’s 42.9%, a gap of more than ten percentage points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n But as vote counting progressed, the picture changed dramatically. Ballots from conservative strongholds such as Gangnam and Seocho steadily narrowed the gap. At 7:17 a.m. on June 4, the National Election Commission’s tally showed Oh moving into first place for the first time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The final result was astonishingly close: Oh Se-hoon received 48.94% of the vote, while Jung Won-oh secured 48.34% \u2014 a difference of only 0.60 percentage points, or 30,359 votes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It became the closest and most dramatic Seoul mayoral election in the city’s history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Political analysts point to three key reasons for the polling miss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n First, the growing influence of early voting. Early turnout in Seoul reached 23.84%, while advance and absentee ballots accounted for 37.6% of all votes cast. Since exit polling is not permitted during early voting, statistical adjustments remain imperfect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Second, the phenomenon of the “shy conservative voter.” Following the fallout from former President Yoon Suk Yeol’s impeachment and martial law controversy, some conservative voters may have been reluctant to publicly disclose their political preferences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Third, delayed vote counting in Songpa District, Seoul’s largest voting district, where ballot shortages slowed the counting process and prolonged the suspense well into the morning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For the second major election in a row, traditional exit polls struggled to accurately predict a close race in an era of expanding early voting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Nationally, the Democratic Party won 12 of the country’s 16 metropolitan mayoral and gubernatorial races.<\/p>\n\n\n\n President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings remained relatively strong heading into the election. Yet Seoul moved in the opposite direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The key concept many analysts use to explain this outcome is patrimonial voting<\/strong> \u2014 voting behavior driven primarily by property and asset interests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The ten districts won by Oh Se-hoon \u2014 including Songpa, Yangcheon, Yeongdeungpo, Gangdong, Yongsan, Seocho, and Gangnam \u2014 largely overlap with areas that have experienced some of Seoul’s strongest apartment price growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Many of these districts, particularly Yangcheon (Mok-dong), Yeongdeungpo (Yeouido), and Gangdong, have traditionally been considered competitive or even Democratic-leaning territory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n This time, however, housing concerns appeared to outweigh party loyalty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For many voters, concerns about property values, housing affordability, and redevelopment opportunities became more important than ideological identity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n One of the election’s most striking developments was the behavior of younger voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Exit polls showed Oh leading among voters in their twenties and thirties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Support among men in their twenties was especially strong, while women in their thirties also leaned toward Oh at a level that would have been difficult to imagine only a few years ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The shift reflects growing anxiety over housing affordability and future wealth accumulation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For many younger Seoul residents, home ownership has become not merely an economic issue but a defining political issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As a result, voting patterns that once favored the Democratic Party are beginning to show signs of realignment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Oh Se-hoon is now the first politician in South Korean history to win five terms as the head of a metropolitan government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n His political journey mirrors the ups and downs of modern conservative politics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Elected Seoul’s youngest mayor in 2006, re-elected in 2010, forced to resign in 2011 following the school lunch referendum controversy, returning through a by-election in 2021, winning a fourth term in 2022, and now securing a fifth term in 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n More importantly, his victory may validate a post-Yoon conservative strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Unlike many figures associated with former President Yoon Suk Yeol, Oh maintained a degree of political independence and cultivated a more moderate image.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Analysts argue that this allowed him to attract both traditional conservatives and centrist voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Attention within conservative circles is already turning toward the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Many observers now see Oh Se-hoon and Han Dong-hoon as the two most prominent figures capable of leading the next phase of conservative politics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Both distanced themselves from hardline pro-Yoon factions and sought broader appeal beyond the conservative base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Their relative success in this election is likely to intensify competition for leadership within the conservative camp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The battle for the future of South Korea’s center-right politics may have already begun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n For the Democratic Party, the election was still a major success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The party secured control of twelve metropolitan governments, maintained dominance in the Seoul Metropolitan Council, and won most district mayoralties across the capital.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Yet losing the Seoul mayoralty carries symbolic significance beyond numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Jung Won-oh was widely viewed as one of President Lee Jae-myung’s preferred candidates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n His defeat suggests that even a popular administration can face resistance in Seoul when economic concerns, particularly housing issues, dominate voter priorities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The election serves as a reminder that real estate remains one of the most powerful political forces in South Korea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Oh’s fifth term begins under challenging conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Although he retained the mayor’s office, the Democratic Party continues to dominate the Seoul Metropolitan Council and controls most district governments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Major initiatives, including redevelopment projects, the “Shintong Planning 2.0” housing program, and the second phase of the Hangang Renaissance project, are likely to face intense scrutiny and political resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Success will depend not only on administrative performance but also on political negotiation and compromise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n At the same time, attention is turning toward the next presidential election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The 2030 presidential race coincides with the end of Oh’s fifth mayoral term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n His performance over the next four years will likely shape perceptions of his national leadership potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Although Oh continues to emphasize his commitment to Seoul, political observers are already evaluating him as a possible presidential contender.<\/p>\n\n\n\n His fifth victory may not represent the culmination of a career, but rather the beginning of a larger political chapter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Oh Se-hoon’s fifth term is undeniably a significant political event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n He defeated a candidate closely associated with President Lee Jae-myung, overcame unfavorable exit polls, and achieved victory during one of the most difficult periods for South Korea’s conservative movement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Yet it remains too early to declare a nationwide conservative resurgence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Whether this election reflects the rebirth of conservative politics or merely a unique response to Seoul’s housing market anxieties will depend on what happens over the next four years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If housing pressures ease, the forces that fueled this victory may fade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n If they intensify, responsibility may shift once again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Either way, Seoul has reclaimed its place as the central battleground of South Korean politics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uc800\uc791\uad8c\uc790 \u00a9 ‘\ub354\ubbf8\ub514\uc5b4\uc800\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8’ \ubb34\ub2e8\uc804\uc7ac \ubc0f \uc7ac\ubc30\ud3ec, AI\ud559\uc2b5 \ubc0f \ud65c\uc6a9 \uae08\uc9c0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Reporter Chae-young Bang (Jamie) \uc815\uce58 \uc2ec\uce35\ubd84\uc11d | 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 4\uc77c \uc804\uad6d\uc774 \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4\ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9 \uc6b0\uc138\ub85c \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub41c 6\u00b73 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \uc11c\uc6b8\ub9cc\uc740 \ub2ec\ub790\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[58,2],"tags":[168,170,147,165,162,166,167,163,164,169,160,159,156,153,155,152,158,161,157,154],"class_list":["post-460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-election","category-2","tag-conservativerevival","tag-koreanelections","tag-leejaemyung","tag-localelections2026","tag-ohsehoon","tag-politicalanalysis","tag-realestatevoting","tag-seoulmayor","tag-seoulpolitics","tag-southkoreapolitics","tag-160","tag-159","tag-156","tag-153","tag-155","tag-152","tag-158","tag-161","tag-157","tag-154"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.media-journalist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/460","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.media-journalist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.media-journalist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.media-journalist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.media-journalist.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=460"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.media-journalist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/460\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":464,"href":"https:\/\/www.media-journalist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/460\/revisions\/464"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.media-journalist.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=460"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.media-journalist.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=460"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.media-journalist.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=460"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\n\n\n\n\u2460 \ucd9c\uad6c\uc870\uc0ac\ub97c \ub4a4\uc9d1\uc740 13\uc2dc\uac04\uc758 \uc5ed\uc804\uadf9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\u2461 \uc11c\uc6b8 \ubbfc\uc2ec\uc740 \uc65c \uc804\uad6d\uacfc \ub2e4\ub978 \uc120\ud0dd\uc744 \ud588\ub098<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\u2462 2030\uc138\ub300\uac00 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\u2463 \uc624\uc138\ud6c8 5\uc120\uc774 \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\ub294 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\u2464 \ud55c\ub3d9\ud6c8\uacfc \uc624\uc138\ud6c8, \ubcf4\uc218 \uc7ac\ud3b8\uc758 \ub450 \ucd95<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\u2465 \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9\uc758 \uc555\uc2b9, \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc740 \ub193\ucce4\ub2e4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\u2466 4\uae30 \uc11c\uc6b8\uc2dc\uc815, \ud611\uce58\uc778\uac00 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc778\uac00<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\u2467 2030 \ub300\uc120\uc744 \ud5a5\ud55c \uc2dc\uacc4\uac00 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778\ub2e4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\uacb0\ub860 | \ubcf4\uc218\uc758 \uadc0\ud658\uc778\uac00, \uc11c\uc6b8\uc758 \uc608\uc678\uc778\uac00<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Phoenix or Exception? \u2014 What Oh Se-hoon’s Fifth Term Really Means<\/h1>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n1. The 13-Hour Comeback That Defied Exit Polls<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n2. Why Seoul Voted Differently<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n3. Young Voters Shifted the Political Map<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n4. The Political Meaning of a Fifth Term<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n5. Oh Se-hoon and Han Dong-hoon: Two Faces of Conservative Renewal<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n6. A Landslide Victory with One Significant Loss<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n7. Governing Seoul Under Divided Power<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n8. The Road to 2030 Starts Now<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\nConclusion | Conservative Revival or a Seoul Exception?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n